A Comparison Between SAR Wind Speeds and Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Best Track Estimates - INSU - Institut national des sciences de l'Univers
Article Dans Une Revue Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan Année : 2024

A Comparison Between SAR Wind Speeds and Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Best Track Estimates

Udai Shimada
  • Fonction : Auteur
Masahiro Hayashi
  • Fonction : Auteur

Résumé

Spaceborne synthetic aperture radar (SAR) for measuring high winds is expected to reduce uncertainties in tropical cyclone (TC) intensity and structure estimation, yet the consistency of SAR observed winds equivalent to a 1-min sustained wind speed with the conventionally estimated 10-min maximum wind speed (Vmax10) remains to be assessed. This study compares SAR wind observations with western North Pacific best track estimates from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC). Because SAR wind observations have a bias dependent on SAR incidence angle, a first order corrective term is proposed and used to correct SAR-derived maximum wind (SAR Vmax) tentatively. After this correction, conversion of SAR Vmax into SAR Vmax10 with Dvorak conversion tables revealed a mean difference between SAR Vmax10 and JMA Vmax10 (ΔVmax10) of −0.1 m s−1 and a mean absolute difference of 4.8 m s−1. ΔVmax10 is found to be correlated with current intensities and future intensity changes. Also, comparison of the JMA best track 50-kt wind radius (R50) with SAR wind speeds suggests that R50 is systematically underestimated. Aside from the SAR wind limitations, possible reasons for the observed discrepancies between SAR wind observations and best track estimates include biases in the Dvorak analysis and conventional surface wind products. Further accumulation of SAR wind observations with appropriate bias correction in the future is expected to contribute to a comprehensive evaluation and improvement of conventional Vmax estimation methods, which could also be useful to verify TC intensity forecasts.
Fichier principal
Vignette du fichier
102_2024-031.pdf (9.23 Mo) Télécharger le fichier
Origine Fichiers éditeurs autorisés sur une archive ouverte

Dates et versions

hal-04731644 , version 1 (14-10-2024)

Licence

Identifiants

Citer

Udai Shimada, Masahiro Hayashi, Alexis Mouche. A Comparison Between SAR Wind Speeds and Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Best Track Estimates. Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 2024, 102 (5), pp.575-593. ⟨10.2151/jmsj.2024-031⟩. ⟨hal-04731644⟩
35 Consultations
5 Téléchargements

Altmetric

Partager

More