Resilience of Snowball Earth to Stochastic Events - INSU - Institut national des sciences de l'Univers
Article Dans Une Revue Geophysical Research Letters Année : 2024

Resilience of Snowball Earth to Stochastic Events

Andrea Zorzi
  • Fonction : Auteur
Xuesong Ding
  • Fonction : Auteur
Jonathan Itcovitz
  • Fonction : Auteur
Bowen Fan
  • Fonction : Auteur
Siddharth Bhatnagar
  • Fonction : Auteur
Aoshuang Ji
  • Fonction : Auteur
Robert J. Graham
  • Fonction : Auteur
Tushar Mittal
  • Fonction : Auteur

Résumé

Earth went through at least two periods of global glaciation (i.e., "Snowball Earth" states) during the Neoproterozoic, the shortest of which (the Marinoan) may not have lasted sufficiently long for its termination to be explained by the gradual volcanic build-up of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. Large asteroid impacts and supervolcanic eruptions have been suggested as stochastic geological events that could cause a sudden end to global glaciation via a runaway melting process. Here, we employ an energy balance climate model to simulate the evolution of Snowball Earth's surface temperature after such events. We find that even a large impactor (diameters of d ∼ 100 km) and the supervolcanic Toba eruption (74 Kyr ago), are insufficient to terminate a Snowball state unless background CO2 has already been driven to high levels by long-term outgassing. We suggest, according to our modeling framework, that Earth's Snowball states would have been resilient to termination by stochastic events.
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Dates et versions

insu-04836842 , version 1 (14-12-2024)

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Guillaume Chaverot, Andrea Zorzi, Xuesong Ding, Jonathan Itcovitz, Bowen Fan, et al.. Resilience of Snowball Earth to Stochastic Events. Geophysical Research Letters, 2024, 51, ⟨10.1029/2024GL109512⟩. ⟨insu-04836842⟩
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